ARG has a new poll out on the 2008 Senate race in New Hampshire showing incumbent Republican John Sununu trailing Democrat Jeanne Shaheen by 10 points (44-34) in a hypothetical rematch of the '02 race.

I don't know if this poll overstates Sununu's troubles or not, but it's no secret he's at the top of the list of vulnerable GOP incumbents next year. Sununu's favorability has been on the slide since last year, and the most recent job approval number I could locate was 47% back in November of '06, which means it's probably lower than that now if it's tracking with his fav/unfav rating.

Republicans got wiped out in New Hampshire last year, and from what I could tell on my recent trip they still appear to be licking their wounds. Independents remain very upset with the president and the war, and Sununu will have his work cut out for him trying win over enough of them to cobble together fifty percent plus one.