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February 5, 2008
Barone's Early State Breakdown
Posted by BLAKE DVORAK | E-Mail This | Permalink | Email Author
Barone's Early State Breakdown
Posted by BLAKE DVORAK | E-Mail This | Permalink | Email Author
Here's the invaluable Michael Barone's guide to Super Tuesday.
Starting with Republicans, Barone lists states he thinks have a good chance of being "called" by 8pm EST:
Illinois (70 delegates, congressional district) - McCain
Massachusetts (43, CD) - Romney
Connecticut (30, winner take all) - McCain
On the Democratic side, states likely to be called early (but remember all states hand out delegates proportionally) are:
Illinois (185 delegates) - Obama
Georgia (103) - Obama
Massachusetts (121) - Clinton
The proportional allotment will lessen any particular state "winner" on the Dem side of course. But we shouldn't underestimate how big wins could be spun by the campaigns.