SurveyUSA vs. Zogby

Kyle listed the SurveyUSA poll below and noted that it's in stark contrast to the Zogby poll. So which one is the outlier?

Here are the most recent polls for California:

Zogby
Obama 49 - Clinton 36

SurveyUSA
Obama 42 - Clinton 52

Suffolk
Obama 40 - Clinton 39

Rasmussen
Obama 45 - Clinton 44

Hm, hard to tell. We have two polls showing double-digit leads for either candidate, and two polls showing a dead-heat. SurveyUSA's 52% for Hillary looks suspicious, but then so does Zogby's +13 points for Obama. The prediction gods have a wicked sense of humor.

UPDATE: My colleague Kevin Sullivan tells me that the SurveyUSA poll includes respondents who have already voted. Since Hillary led for most of January, the poll might be correct in giving her the edge.

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