Wisconsin Election Thread

11:19PM - If we had a Washington Election Thread, we would say: John McCain has won Washington. We don't, but McCain has won anyway. - BLAKE DVORAK

10:54PM - McCain's line of the night -- "I will work hard to make sure Americans aren't deceived by an eloquent but empty call for change" -- has elicited this response from the Obama campaign:

"John McCain's remarks tonight shows why he's offering nothing more than a third term of George Bush's policies -– more fear-mongering, more than a century of war in Iraq, and more budget-busting tax cuts for the wealthiest few at the expense of hardworking Americans."

Interesting thing to note: Obama will be fighting off attacks from both Clinton and McCain for at least another two weeks. - BLAKE DVORAK

10:25PM - And 45 minutes later, Obama wraps it up. Those 20,000 folks in the Toyota Center certainly got their money's worth. On Fox, Brit Hume just said it was the longest victory speech this cycle. - BLAKE DVORAK

9:39PM - Pouring salt on the wound, the networks just cut Clinton off mid-sentence to break to Obama, who's now giving his victory speech in Houston. You have to love these games the campaigns play with each other using the media. - BLAKE DVORAK

9:26PM - Networks have called it for Obama. Despite Hillary's people downplaying tonight's results, this is a big loss for Clinton because, as Jay noted, this was Clinton country and Obama captured it. - BLAKE DVORAK

9:24PM - After tonight, it's going to be very hard for Mike Huckabee to justify staying in the race. Yes, he has every right to press on and he can continue to run what amounts to a shadow campaign on a shoestring, but the pressure on him to get out is going to be enormous. With the endorsements McCain received this week and the vote tonight in Wisconsin, Huckabee's continued presence in the race now appears self serving and bordering on silly. If Huckabee was trying to build a case for himself, either for VP or for a future run, staying the race beyond tonight probably harms those objectives rather than helps him achieve them. - TOM BEVAN

9:15PM - The question for McCain tonight: Is he unifying Republicans behind his candidacy? The exits point toward good news for him:

*McCain won all major regions, both urban and rural by large margins.
*He won Republican voters (71%) 53-39.
*He tied Huckabee with conservative voters (60%) 45-45.
*Among those who listen to talk radio "frequently" McCain won 56-32. For those who listen "occasionally" 50-42.
*Although McCain lost Evangelicals (54-34), he won among those who go to church "weekly" 49-43.

The story emerging from Wisconsin is that the coalitions of the GOP are uniting behind McCain in a way the bodes well for the general election. He's not there yet, and Wisconsin is just one state, but the trends look good. - BLAKE DVORAK

9:06 PM - While the race is too close to call on the Democratic side - the early exit results point to about a 12 point win for Obama, call it 55-ish to 43-ish. The early indications are that Obama has made in-roads into Clinton's core voting blocs - white Catholics, lower income whites, union workers, etc. Above all, Obama basically split white women with Clinton, according to the exit polls. This is significant because, unlike Maryland, where a large bloc (41% make $100k or more) of the electorate was very wealthy, this was not true in Wisconsin (just 20%). - JAY COST

9:00PM - CNN and Fox make quick calls for McCain. Too close on the Dem side, although Wolf Blitzer hinted that a call could be close, as exits show Obama with a lead. - BLAKE DVORAK

8:00PM - Just caught some exit polling data from Fox:

*53-47: Obama is winning late-deciders.
*No numbers, but Obama is also winning union voters, though it's tight.

*59-35: Huckabee is winning evangelicals.
* No numbers, but Huckabee is also winning conservatives.
* 54-31: Huckabee is winning "value voters".
* 53-47: McCain is winning Republicans, who make up 70% of all GOP voters. - BLAKE DVORAK

7:44PM - First wave of Wisconsin exits are out. Some highlights:

*Six in ten GOP voters described themselves as conservatives.
*Majority of GOP voters described economy as not good or poor.

*Nine in ten Democratic voters are white, and a majority are women.
* Seven in ten Democratic voters said globalization takes jobs away from Wisconsin.

Also, in data we haven't seen yet, Jim Geraghty is hearing a big Obama blowout. Something like 60-40. - BLAKE DVORAK

7:22PM - Over the weekend, Barack Obama picked up endorsements from the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, the Houston Chronicle and the Corpus Christi Caller-Times. That brings to eleven the number of papers in post-February 5 states that have picked the freshman senator. Hillary Clinton's total after February 5: Zero. Do newspapers follow Big Mo as much as voters? Check out our analysis at Politics Nation in the morning for a deeper look. - REID WILSON

7:19PM - From the Wisconsin State Journal election blog: ""I voted for Hillary because she doesn't have a prayer against my guy," said the mortgage company owner who backs John McCain. According to exit numbers I saw on CNN, Republicans represented something like 6% of the vote today, and they appear to be splitting at least somewhat between Obama and Clinton. - TOM BEVAN

6:57PM - Chris Cillizza has a piece up on Obama seeking to continue his win streak. The headlines tomorrow are going to dramatic either way: Obama goes to 10-0 or Clinton Upsets Obama. From the exits we're seeing and the buzz I'm hearing, it's probably going to be the former. - TOM BEVAN

6:46PM - The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel has a decent series of updates on its election night blog. It appears turnout was steady to heavy in Madison and Milwaukee, both potentially good signs for Obama. - TOM BEVAN



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