Nightmare on Dem Street

Negotiations to hold revotes in Florida and Michigan appear to be going nowhere. Both sides are digging in, and there doesn't appear to be any sort of compromise on the horizon that will be acceptable to either campaign.

In Michigan, for example, the legislature wants the Obama campaign to agree to a redo before pushing it through. But Obama state chairman Tupac Hunter absolutely refuses to sign off on a plan before seeing the fine print:

"Clinton folks will do anything to open Michigan back up. She is in a hunt for delegates. Why this sudden pull out all the stops to give Hillary Clinton every opportunity to try to catch up? Guess what? It's not going to happen. This legislator is not going to facilitate it."

Actually, Hunter is wrong. Clinton is hunting for votes, not delegates. Clinton won't be able to close the gap with Obama in pledged delegates, but she may be able to overtake him in the popular vote with victories in Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, and revotes in Michigan and Florida. That would give her a legitimate claim to the nomination and would be a persuasive argument to put to the superdelegates - especially if over the course of the next few weeks of campaigning Obama starts to look like damaged goods with Wright, Rezko, and a continued pounding from Clinton on national security.

This would be the ultimate nightmare scenario for the Dems: a massive food fight on the floor of the convention in Denver with half the party supporting a candidate who won more pledged delegates and more states, and half the party supporting a candidate who won more popular votes. And, ironically enough, Clinton's argument in Denver may be stronger if Obama is the one who refuses to assent to revotes in Florida and Michigan.

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