The race certainly feels "over," doesn't it? After her big win in West Virginia last Tuesday, Clinton had a horrible week. First she was big-footed by John Edwards' endorsement of Obama on Wednesday night. Then, thanks to President Bush's remarks in Jerusalem, she was effectively excised from the political debate for the last four days.

But will it end tomorrow night? If you missed it last week, Michael Barone offers a great read on why the likely answer is "no."

Indeed, Carrie Budoff Brown of The Politico reports this morning that the Obama campaign has backtracked on initial plans to roll out the Mission Accomplished banner tomorrow night after Oregon:

Concerned about appearing presumptuous or antagonistic towards Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama will not declare victory in the Democratic nomination fight Tuesday in the event he wins enough pledged delegates to claim a majority.

Rather, he'll tiptoe right up to the line, without explicitly asserting the race is over.

While it may sound like an exercise in hair-splitting, the conscious decision not to declare victory is a revealing measure of the sensitivity surrounding overtures that appear to disrespect Clinton and her supporters.

It's also a reflection of the Obama campaign's supreme confidence in the delegate math at this juncture - the campaign now appears secure enough in its commanding position that it no longer feels compelled to declare victory in an attempt to marginalize Clinton.

So it's over, right? For all intents and purposes, yes. Aside from an earth shattering scandal, the only thing that could alter the calculus at this point would be a Clinton upset in Oregon - and even that wouldn't put her much closer to the nomination, though it would give her campaign some additional oxygen and a stronger rationale to stick it out through Denver.

Could Oregon be the new New Hampshire? Don't count on it. Despite two recent polls showing her within 5 points of Obama, Clinton is unlikely to score an upset in Oregon for the same reason Obama is almost certainly going to get blown out in Kentucky tomorrow just like he did the previous week in West Virginia: the demography of the state works against her.

Since the lead in to Texas and Ohio on March 4 when the candidates' respective coalitions seemed to harden even further, the final stretch run of the Democratic primary has epitomized the phrase, "demography is destiny."

Neither has been able to overcome the other's demographic advantage in any of the states on the calendar over the last two and half months (though Obama came close in Indiana) regardless of the amount of time or money spent campaigning. There doesn't appear to be any reason Oregon would suddenly present itself as the exception to this rule.