September 25, 2007 3:50
George W. Bush -- Not Totally Toxic
At least, the Republican National Committee doesn't think so. The RNC blast-emailed a solicitation to party members across the country a little while ago in the form of a letter from the incumbent president and nominal head of the party. "In just over 13 months, Americans go to the polls to elect the next President," Bush writes in his "Dear Republican" letter. "We have an important mission: to keep the White House in 2008, and retake the U.S. House and Senate."
Mission impossible? Bush doesn't think so, although he acknowledges that fulfillment won't come easy:
Next year, Chairman Mike Duncan and the Republican National Committee (RNC) will have the job of organizing our Party's national grassroots campaign effort.Mike and I both are counting on your support to help lead the Republican Party to sweeping victories in the 2008 elections.
We know it is grassroots activists like you who put up the yard signs, knock on the doors, make the phone calls and do what's necessary to win and elect a Republican president and Congress.
And it is people like you who give generously to ensure our candidates have the resources needed to run effective campaigns and win. That is why I hope you will make a special online gift of $1,000, $500, $250, $100, $50, or $25 to keep the RNC's 2008 election programs moving forward.
Winning the 2008 elections will be the toughest test our Party has faced since we won the White House and added to our numbers in both houses of Congress in 2004.
The toughest test since 2004? Have Bush and Duncan and the good people over at the RNC erased 2006 from their memory banks? Wasn't last year a teeny bit tougher a test for Republicans than 2004? Or is victory tougher than defeat? I'm putting a call in to RNC HQ to get the answers.*
In the meantime, the RNC (and Bush) set a pretty basic GOP strategy for the 08 cycle: run on the twin themes of national defense and the economy and all will turn out well. "You can win most elections based upon strong national defense and good economic policy," the President writes, which is an axiom that's hard to refute. The problem for Republicans: in a year in which the war in Iraq will probably continue to be a drag on the party and in which there is at least a reasonable chance of an economic downturn brought on by the housing slump, running on national defense and the economy won't be easy. In fact, it might be tough.
UPDATE: Danny Diaz, RNC spokesman, explains the elision of 2006 this way: "It clearly speaks to the stakes of the upcoming election and the significance of maintaining control of the White House and electing Republicans up and down the ticket." In other words (mine), for Republicans, the stakes of 2008 are higher than they were in 2006 because they stand to lose control of the White House as well as remain in the minority in the House and Senate. That makes sense. Diaz would never say this, but the GOP's chances of retaining the White House, while daunting, are better than its chances of winning back either house of Congress.
About Swampland
Ana Marie Cox is the founding editor of Wonkette and the author of the novel Dog Days. Read more
Joe Klein is TIME's political columnist and author of six books, most recently Politics Lost. Read more
Karen Tumulty is TIME's National Political Correspondent and has also covered the White House and Congress. Read more
Jay Carney is TIME's Washington bureau chief. He has covered the Clinton and Bush 43 White Houses as well as Congress. Read more
Jay Newton-Small has covered the Bush 43 White House and Congress since the DeLay era. Read more
Michael Scherer is a TIME Washington bureau correspondent covering the 2008 presidential campaign. Read more
Mike Murphy is a GOP consultant and was a senior strategist for John McCain's 2000 presidential campaign. Read more
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Reader Comments (32)
Happy talk. What do you expect Bush to say, "We're gonna lose big"?
Meanwhile, the D's are turning the R's traditional fund raising advantage on its head. As of the end of Sept, the D's balance was a net $18M, while the R's had a net balance of -$2.4M. I'll say one thing for Republican donors, they know better than to bet on a losing horse.
Posted by Franco | September 25, 2007 4:00 PM
This from a man that thinks 'Just Say NO, Abstinence Only" will stop the spread of HIV/AIDS in Africa.
Nukklear Burma Shave
Posted by linda | September 25, 2007 4:10 PM
"Democrats easily gain wider trust on the Economy (48% to 36%). But they are essentially tied with the GOP on National Security (44% to 43%)."
http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trust_on_issues
As to using Bush's name to raise money, it's a letter going out to bitter enders, not a TV ad for general consumption.
Posted by Elvis Elvisberg | September 25, 2007 4:22 PM
I can't stand Donald Trump (doesn’t he always look like he's been sucking some lemons); although Bush should take his advice and hide. He is Persona Non Grata, an albatross around the necks of all Republicans. He should send out all those letters and heck he should go out there and press some flesh with the only remaining 30% as much as he wants.
http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/09/24/trump.bush/index.html?iref=newssearch
Posted by Roving Eye | September 25, 2007 5:01 PM
Hey Jay,
Next time the GOPer's tell you it would be great for Republicans everywhere for a Hillary nomination, ask them how come with her as the frontrunner in the polls their fundraising is still abyssmal and self identified Republican numbers are still dropping? Maybe challenge that CW a little bit?
Posted by demkat620 | September 25, 2007 5:02 PM
linda: I (heart) U! We're going to have to get creative in our Burma-logue on current events!...
The Dems are hot,
the voters swoon,
twenty-oh-eight,
can't come too soon!
Burma Shave.
Posted by kbanginmotown | September 25, 2007 5:44 PM
You realize of course, even "in other words", Diaz did not answer your question. Not that you care, apparently.
Posted by david | September 25, 2007 5:45 PM
Jay - You wrote: "The problem for Republicans: in a year in which the war in Iraq will probably continue to be a drag on the party and in which there is at least a reasonable chance of an economic downturn brought on by the housing slump, running on national defense and the economy won't be easy. In fact, it might be tough."
This might be sign of progress that you did not automatically cede the Economic and National Security issues to the GOP. That might have worked in the past but you are behind the curve if you think that the general population will fall for that one again. The Dems are beginning to own those issues and the only thing that is preventing it is a GOP-induced fear-of-all-things-Democrat. But we as a nation are growing tired of living in fear.
Plus, 'elision'? Really? Are you what happens to English Majors when they run out of their parents tuition money?
Posted by Terrapin | September 25, 2007 5:54 PM
"You can win most elections based upon strong national defense and good economic policy," the President writes...
I am proud that George W. Bush is in office. I wholeheartedly agree that if he were able to run again in 2008, he would win. The President is a wise and noble man.
Posted by Yadgyu | September 25, 2007 6:07 PM
"Next year, Chairman Mike Duncan and the Republican National Committee (RNC) will have the job of organizing our Party's national grassroots campaign effort.
Mike and I both are counting on your support to help lead the Republican Party to sweeping victories in the 2008 elections.
We know it is grassroots activists like you who put up the yard signs, knock on the doors, make the phone calls and do what's necessary to win and elect a Republican president and Congress."
Grassroots campaign where minorities need not show up -- we [RNC and George] don't want your vote anyway. Campaign slogan: "Racists-R-Us".
See y'all in Jena!
Posted by A Little Knowledge | September 25, 2007 6:11 PM
Ropes in a knot,
Shorts in a twist,
Katrina forgotten,
Bomb Iran, no risk
Burma Shave
Posted by linda | September 25, 2007 6:27 PM
You know things are bad when the Republican strategy is to lose, then smear and slime their way back to power through partisan obstructionism and employing the "stabbed in the back" meme.
Except, you can't say that because Republicans can never be called the "O" word, and can never be described to stop bills using the "F" word, and partisanship is only do to Democratic stubbornness and refusal to reach across the aisle, and "stabbed in the back" is a Hitler analogy that would be uncivil.
So, the strategy has about an even chance of working.
Posted by Memekiller | September 25, 2007 6:50 PM
Wait...I missed the part about how this is bad for Democrats.
Posted by Franco | September 25, 2007 6:51 PM
Jay: are you in a position to write a critical essay on the bankruptcy of the Republican Party when it comes to ideas, policies and programs? Or is this beyond the remit of Time journalists.
Posted by senitnel | September 25, 2007 7:26 PM
RNC, I hate to
Burst you bubble
Gergen trashin'
you, spells trouble
Burma Shave
[on Tweety: the only question after Bush's UN speech is do reporters call it Burma or Myanmar? Do American's care?]
Posted by linda | September 25, 2007 7:40 PM
Hate to burst your little insular liberal bubbles but not everyone thinks Bush is Hitler like some of your more honest posters in here do...
http://time-blog.com/swampland/2007/09/why_drudge_is_a_disgrace_1.html#comments
Posted by Anonymous | September 25, 2007 8:28 PM
More moments of liberal pride:
http://littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog/?entry=27217_Badger-Herald_Editorial-_Iraqi_Terrorists_Have_a_Right_to_Kill_US_Soldiers&only
An op-ed by Kyle Szarzynski in University of Wisconsin-Madison student paper the Badger-Herald says the terrorists in Iraq have a right to kill American soldiers.
A recent Lancet study reports that 654,965 Iraqis were killed as a result of the war between March 2003 and July 2006. This figure is important because it demonstrates that proportionately the U.S. military has murdered far more Iraqis than Saddam Hussein ever did. Even the U.S.-funded “al-Anfal Campaign,” an anti-Kurdish operation during the late 1980s that culminated in the Halabja poison gas attack of 1988, is outmatched by the current savagery. ...
Let’s consider this much-maligned Iraqi resistance. Compromised of diverse and disconnected organizations ranging in ideology from nationalism to Marxism to Islamic fundamentalism, the insurgency is united by its opposition to the occupying forces. Its tactics include rocket strikes, suicide bombings, sniper attacks, ambushes, sabotage and peaceful protest.
The military, in conjunction with mainstream media, has distorted the insurgency beyond recognition. Contrary to current dogma, resistance is not a bastion for foreign fighters, let alone a fifth column for al-Qaida. According to a recent Washington Post report, a mere 4 to 10 percent of all resistance fighters are non-Iraqi.
The second big lie is that the insurgents are all either religious fanatics, terrorist-types who are intent on restoring the Caliphate or ex-Baathists nostalgic for Saddam. The truth is another matter. Estimates place the number of insurgents between 30,000 and 200,000, crossing political, ethnic, tribal and religious lines.
Even more important, however, is the support the insurgency receives from the general population. This is hardly surprising, since 82 percent of Iraqis say they disapprove of the U.S. and allied militaries in Iraq, according to a recent Washington Post report.
What all of this adds up to is the following: The Iraqi insurgency is an organic movement, born out of the rape and brutalization of its country by an imperialist power. Most of the fighters — and their far more numerous sympathizers and abettors — are not motivated by politics or religion, but by simple self-interest.
Posted by This is why you will lose libs! | September 25, 2007 8:33 PM
More liberal educational materials to help them help themselves!
Sally Field Doesn't Speak For Me
By Michelle Malkin
September 19, 2007
Editor's Note: The third and fourth paragraphs of this column contains offensive language.
---
Like actress Sally Field, I am a mom. Unlike Sally Field, I do not live in La-La Land. We breathe a different brand of oxygen. We hold diametrically opposed worldviews. We have nothing in common but stretch marks.
Contrary to tongue-tied Sally's incoherent Primetime Emmy Awards diatribe, childbearing and childrearing experiences do not bond all women in a universal sorority of non-confrontation. There are sheep moms. There are lion moms. We know which kind Sally Field is.
"If mothers ruled the, ruled the world, there would be no god-damned wars in the first place," Field bleated. In the Gidget Guide to Parenting, mothers are appeasers and hand-holders. Our maternal instincts supposedly lead us to shun fights and coddle bullies instead of disciplining them.
There would be "no god-damned wars," Silly Sally, because we'd all be conquered chattel if Field Diplomacy "ruled the world."
Motherhood and peace-making are not synonymous. Motherhood requires ferocity, the will and resolve to protect one's own children at all costs, and a life-long commitment to sacrifice for a family's betterment and survival. Conflict avoidance is incompatible with good mothering.
On the playground of life, Sally Field is the mom who looks the other way when the brat on the elementary school slide pushes your son to the ground or throws dirt in your daughter's face.
She's the mom who holds her tongue at the mall when thugs spew profanities and make crude gestures in front of her brood. She's the mom who tells her child never to point out when a teacher gets her facts wrong.
She's the mom who buys her teenager beer, condoms and a hotel room on prom night, because she'd rather give in than assert her parental authority and do battle.
She's the mom whose minivan sports insipid bumper stickers preaching non-intervention at all costs: "Peace is patriotic." "War is not the answer." "It Will Be a Great Day When Our Schools Get All the Money They Need and the Air Force Has to Hold a Bake Sale to Buy a Bomber."
Hollywood can afford to indulge Sally Field's inarticulate naivete. America cannot. And the very moms that Sally Field claims to speak for know it.
This weekend, I met dozens of military mothers in Washington, D.C., who fervently oppose the Sally Field/Cindy Sheehan model of maternal submission and immediate surrender. They were among several thousand grass-roots activists who turned out for the "Gathering of Eagles" counter-demonstration on the National Mall.
Deborah Johns, mother of William, a Marine who has served three tours of duty in Iraq, condemned the Left's demonization of Gen. David Petraeus and urged Congress to oppose a precipitous withdrawal from Iraq. "Cindy Sheehan doesn't speak for me," Johns said. "She has never spoken for me. And she will never speak for me. . . . We are not going to let the domestic enemies at home defeat us like they did" during the Vietnam War.
Debbie Lee, mother of Mark, the first Navy SEAL killed in Iraq, rejected the anti-war movement's infantilization of the troops. She was galled at the George Soros-funded ANSWER "die-in" usurping the names and legacies of those who have died serving in Iraq. Describing her son's heroism and her support of the counterinsurgency efforts in Iraq, she said: "You can't 'take' someone's life who gives it . . . and Mark willingly gave his life. . . . God redeployed Mark to heaven."
In Sally World, these mothers and their sons are helpless victims. In Sally World, self-defense is for "war-mongers." In Sally World, you can pretend that the bloodthirsty mothers who strap al Qaeda suicide bomb vests on their toddlers and sit them down in front of the television to watch the Jew-hating Hamas Mickey Mouse don't exist. In Sally World, you need only to embrace our enemies, "imagine" peace and rub your Emmy Award like a magic lamp as you wish global jihad away.
In the real world, not all women think with their wombs instead of their brains. In the real world, you can't just give evil a "time-out." Sally Field fancies herself the mother of all spokesmothers. To which I say, in my most maternally combative tone: Speak for your own bleepin' self, sister.
------
Posted by Anonymous | September 25, 2007 8:36 PM
Thank goodness the threat of war with Iran is not a POLITICAL issue...
I mean, this frees Jay Carney -- and all of his subordinates -- to write about really important stuff like emails sent out to stauch republicans that are ostensibly from Bush, and idiotic smackdowns of Glenn Greenwald, and Joe Klein's umpteenth post about the Move-On ad.
I guess Jay lives on high ground in DC, because if we wind up attacking Iran, the blood of hundreds of US troops -- not to mention the blood of tens of thousands of INNOCENT Iranians -- will be flooding the streets of DC and environs.
Of course, Carney's car will wind up having to drive though the blood of innocents to get to his job --- but that's a small price to pay to keep America focussed on "non-political" issues like the efforts of Joe Lieberman and John Kyl to get Congress to authorize an attack on Iran.
Seriously, Carney.... do you have a non-trivial brain cell in your skull?
Posted by p_lukasiak | September 25, 2007 9:54 PM
Good points all, Paul.
But look at it this way: it's a daunting journalistic challenge to try to get a whole piece out of a GENERIC FUNDRAISING LETTER.
Posted by SF Bear | September 25, 2007 10:09 PM
LOOK! a bright shiney fundraising letter! from George!
thank you p_luk.
Of all the things Jay could write about...and the horserace is THE MOSTEST IMPORTANT THING OF ALL! Right?
Posted by JoyousMN | September 25, 2007 10:28 PM
Bush's note it
has the key,
Stupid, it's
the economy!
Myanmar Shave (?)
Posted by kbanginmotown | September 25, 2007 10:31 PM
Another black-on-white beating occurred, this time in Virginia. Drudge has the details. It's happening daily.
Posted by Check the Facts | September 25, 2007 10:32 PM
2008 will be a great year for Republicans. You Dummycrats are just too genetically inferior to pick up the vibe.
Posted by Check the Facts | September 25, 2007 10:34 PM
I'm almost afraid to tell these guys that the Republicans have sent out fundraising letters citing the MoveOn Ad!!
Shhhhhhh! Or it's be all we hear about for the rest of the week.
Posted by SF Bear | September 25, 2007 10:45 PM
"Another black-on-white beating occurred, this time in Virginia. Drudge has the details. It's happening daily."
Yeah! Watch out, dude! Them nee-groes is coming for you next!
And after that, all those Asian "hordes" will come "sweeping" out of Central Asia.
Let's bomb them all!
Posted by Enceladus | September 25, 2007 11:12 PM
More 'top secret'
paper shuffle
to shush the
growing kerfluffle
Burma Shave
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/9/25/181157/580
Posted by linda | September 25, 2007 11:22 PM
I am SO uninterested in Blackwater.
The Democrats will just try to start an investigation, and the public doesn't want that. Yep, this is bad news for the Democrats. . . .
Posted by SF Bear | September 25, 2007 11:37 PM
What is the surprise?He lives in a new theme park called Bushworld.Where morons are geniuses and war is just a game.He thinks America is always on the elephant ride.Well 06 was a wake up call and 08 will be a nightmare.Better put a donkey ride in Bushworld.
Posted by THOMAS BILLIS | September 26, 2007 4:49 AM
“I am so uninterested in the Democrats wanting [an investigation into the Blackwater atrocity], because it is so bad for them. Because it shows business as usual, tit for tat, vengeance.”
Posted by Tom Traubert | September 26, 2007 4:57 AM
Ask me no questions,
I'll tell you no lies,
It matters not who
suffers, who dies.
Burma Shave
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/9/26/14510/1395
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/9/25/18445/3320
Posted by linda | September 26, 2007 6:45 AM
kbanginmotown --
Myanmar Shave (?)
LOL!!
Posted by ivb | September 26, 2007 8:20 AM